PROBABILITY ANALYSIS OF AIR POLLUTANTS IN ORDU, TURKEY

Abstract

Air pollutants are the main potential health threatened among the other risk components. In the last century, industrialization, motor-driven vehicle, heating purpose are the main sources air pollutants. This study aims that probability analysis of air pollutants in Ordu city of Turkey located in Blacksea region. Analyzed data (PM10, SO2) covers the time span of 2008-2015 years. Daily records were rearranged to describe monthly maximum values. Firstly, data set was analyzed using software to find out likely well-fitted probability distribution. Using the probability distribution, synthetic data were generated for standard recurrence intervals. On the other side, extreme values of the record were also analyzed using likely probability distribution. PM10 data set distribution was well fitted to Log-normal distribution. Findings of this work were interpreted considering human-health criteria used in international standards.